Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 21.974446 24.909023 28.111706 31.870006 36.164114 40.922708 46.603236
2025-02-02 17.998752 22.076014 26.907864 33.072149 40.750572 50.030134 62.141041
2025-02-09 14.986740 19.593620 25.431307 33.407445 44.078667 57.942359 77.448384
2025-02-16 12.484808 17.209058 23.538167 32.696910 45.711260 63.689830 90.666732
2025-02-23 10.675505 15.398649 22.036964 32.133374 47.253724 69.297223 104.308196
2025-03-02 9.312605 13.980636 20.825060 31.705235 48.781103 74.907528 118.588530
2025-03-09 8.322742 12.954391 20.010911 31.688867 50.819761 81.419618 135.066562
2025-03-16 7.485993 12.041298 19.228331 31.568727 52.597832 87.642218 151.849819
2025-03-23 7.037001 11.680075 19.254777 32.729816 56.583140 97.946135 177.055801
2025-03-30 6.463477 11.038104 18.731587 32.867718 58.779177 105.384559 198.129940
2025-04-06 5.820979 10.201731 17.776139 32.111144 59.241372 109.710134 213.900146
2025-04-13 5.300265 9.519657 17.009218 31.587980 60.034901 114.687178 231.568932
2025-04-20 5.042223 9.298424 17.070425 32.666656 64.124839 126.723882 265.876430
2025-04-27 4.858487 9.196277 17.342486 34.191506 69.318293 141.717886 309.028815
2025-05-04 4.561424 8.844331 17.098746 34.657441 72.407381 152.810858 345.514451
2025-05-11 4.168400 8.261257 16.338029 33.965365 72.947330 158.521703 370.641456
2025-05-18 3.831371 7.754942 15.675907 33.397044 73.672389 164.720357 397.944151
2025-05-25 3.542217 7.316893 15.106756 32.958336 74.622391 171.544382 427.924242
2025-06-01 3.319674 6.995916 14.749134 32.944193 76.544190 180.900172 465.951618
2025-06-08 3.108612 6.678052 14.364475 32.820174 78.183876 189.795205 504.321036
2025-06-15 3.019789 6.619327 14.542286 34.030561 83.238326 207.899137 571.058726
2025-06-22 2.857897 6.380105 14.288792 34.174465 85.635020 219.542501 621.735549
2025-06-29 2.645602 6.004829 13.685023 33.386123 85.523868 224.555364 653.995458